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Global climate change poses not only environmental hazards but profound risks to planetary peace and stability as well. Climatic Cataclysm gathers experts on climate science, oceanography, history, political science, foreign policy, and national security to take the measure of these risks. The contributors have developed three scenarios of what the future may hold. The expected scenario relies on current scientific models to project the effects of climate change over the next 30 years. The severe scenario, which posits a much stronger climate response to current levels of carbon loading, foresees profound and potentially destabilizing global effects over the next generation or more. Finally, the catastrophic scenario is characterized by a devastating "tipping point" in the climate system, perhaps 50 or 100 years hence. In this future world, the land-based polar ice sheets have disappeared, global sea levels have risen dramatically, and the existing natural order has been destroyed beyond repair. The contributors analyze the security implications of these scenarios, which at a minimum include increased disease proliferation; tensions caused by large-scale migration; and conflict sparked by resource scarcity, particularly in Africa. They consider what we can learn from the experience of early civilizations confronted with natural disaster, and they ask what the three largest emitters of greenhouse gases—the United States, the European Union, and China—can do to reduce and manage future risks. In the coming decade, the United States faces an ominous set of foreign policy and national security challenges. Global climate change will not only complicate these tasks, but as this sobering study reveals, it may also create new challenges that dwarf those of today. Contributors include Leon Fuerth (George Washington University), Jay Gulledge (Pew Center on Global Climate Change), Alexander T. J. Lennon (Center for Strategic and International Studies), J.R. McNeill (Georgetown University), Derek Mix (Center for Strategic and International Studies), Peter Ogden (Center for American Progress), John Podesta (Center for American Progress), Julianne Smith (Center for Strategic and International Studies), Richard Weitz (Hudson Institute), and R. James Woolsey (Booz Allen Hamilton).
- Sales Rank: #2134960 in Books
- Brand: Brand: Brookings Institution Press
- Published on: 2008-06-06
- Original language: English
- Number of items: 1
- Dimensions: 9.32" h x .92" w x 6.34" l, 1.14 pounds
- Binding: Hardcover
- 237 pages
- Used Book in Good Condition
Most helpful customer reviews
6 of 7 people found the following review helpful.
Well-crafted, timely, authoritative
By James A. Vedda
Although published by the Brookings Institution, this book is derived from a November 2007 study conducted through a partnership between the Center for Strategic & International Studies and the Center for a New American Security. Titled "The Age of Consequences: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Global Climate Change," that study was authored by a team of experts in climate science, defense, intelligence, and foreign policy who expanded their report into this excellent book. Even if you've read the original report, get this book because it substantially adds to the information and analysis.
There have been many reports in recent years on the national security implications of climate change. This is among the best. Some recognizable names among the 12 authors are James Woolsey, former director of the CIA; Leon Fuerth, former national security advisor to Vice President Al Gore; and John Podesta, former chief of staff for President Bill Clinton. The other authors are also heavy hitters in their fields.
The authors created three increasingly grave scenarios: "expected" and "serious" over the next 30 years, and "catastrophic" over the next 100 years. These are quite frightening, particularly the latter two, and should not be read to small children. But this grave tone is appropriate for a report designed to warn of the urgency of the situation and present some serious thinking about its implications. The major implications are laid out in the final chapter for policy-makers, business leaders, and the rest of us to consider. A must-read for anyone who cares about what could happen in the rest of this century.
4 of 4 people found the following review helpful.
Could Global Climate do more than create environmental chaos?
By Midwest Book Review
Could Global Climate do more than create environmental chaos? "Climatic Cataclysm: The Foreign Policy and National Security Implications of Climate Change" looks at the other implications that a shifting climate could visit upon a world. Pondering scenarios ranging from likely to full on possible doomsday-level scenarios, they are all explained on what they mean for the world, how they can be averted, and how they can be dealt with if it's too late to avert it. "Climatic Cataclysm" is an enlightening look at how nature can wreak havoc on politics.
6 of 9 people found the following review helpful.
The Ensuing Chaos From Climatic Tipping Points
By James Safranek
Given Brookings support for Bush's Middle East 'campaign' I typically would not turn to this centrist think-tank for policy direction on climate change, but I can bend with the warming winds on this issue, especially since these analysts got it right. I agree with the political implications discussed in this book: the political fighting in the U.S. has to cease so that alternative energy options are implemented ASAP. That is, as soon as (our next) President Obama takes office. Why ASAP?
Three future climate scenarios are laid out, each with successive implications for the very functioning of American society. The third scenario, or catastrophic tipping point, is predicated on man-made atmospheric carbon essentially creating a new and vastly foreign climate regime. This is consistent with the latest scientitific research on anthropogenic global warming.
Brookings analysts argue that this third scenario holds the greatest danger in around 50-100 years for both the natural world and human civilization as humanity faces forced migration, diseases, and the increased possibilities of nuclear war as a variety of national security threats dramatically heighten.
Skip the summer sci-fi reading and take this one on...since it reads like a dystopia anyway.
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